January 27, 2004

Predictions for New Hampshire

I can do no better than to say that, as far as I know, the polls are right: Kerry will win, followed by Dean and then Edwards. I'm somewhat surprised that Edwards hasn't surged faster in the polls-- which is to say that I won't be terribly surprised if he finishes stronger than expected. As I've written before, thrid place, contrary to form, will matter this year; Edwards is capable of riding a third place showing to at least one or two Mini-Tuesday victories next week. (He's already polling in first place in South Carolina.)

Posted by John Tabin at January 27, 2004 01:17 PM