June 02, 2004

Squeaker in the Black Hills

Here's the post-mortem on the South Dakota that I promised yesterday.

Larry Sabato thinks that the Herseth victory is actually bad for Daschle, because South Dakotans won't want to be represented by three Democrats. I still say the two races aren't connected much, counterintuitively or otherwise. But John J. Miller is surely right that the White House could have put Diedrich over the top with a Bush visit; you don't suppose Karl Rove agrees with Sabato's analysis, do you?

Posted by John Tabin at June 2, 2004 10:01 AM

Politics can often be compared to war, and in war one should not cede territory or men needlessly if one is serious about victory. I believe the same holds true here; the Republicans are foolish indeed if they think surrendering a House seat will aid them in bringing down Daschle. I do not believe that this particular victory will make a GREAT difference to Daschle, however this does put the momentum behind the Democrats. People love to jump on a bandwagon, love to be on the winning side. Granted, Bush should not have pumped enormous resources into this race, however, he should not have simply written off a House seat either. I wonder about the Republicans.

Posted by: Tim Birdnow at June 3, 2004 07:42 PM