August 03, 2004

Polls, Polls, Polls

It's no surprise that Kerry didn't get a big bounce out of last week's convention-- but did he actually lose ground? Maybe so. I look at the data in my latest AmSpec column.

Posted by John Tabin at August 3, 2004 01:32 AM
Comments

Excellent analysis which comports with my anecdotal experience. I do not know of a SINGLE undecided candidate. Where I live the vast majority of voters would vote for any Democrat, but the Republicans I know are adamantly opposed to Kerry. There are no comments like "it doesn't matter whom we vote for..." this time.

Posted by: DA at August 3, 2004 06:37 AM

Time is not on Kerry`s side. The Democrats and puppet-heads (news anchors) have all told us that the public just needs to get to know Kerry (despite his generational time span in public life). This convention MAY be the first exposure many people have had to ``Fighting John`` and they DID NOT LIKE HIM! This proves the point about Kerry-he is both radically liberal and dreadfully dull. This is a lethal combination, and will sink this guy. The more the public gets to know Kerry and his botox-injection trial lawyer pal the weaker they will become. History is against them, logic is against them, and good old fashioned charm is against them. These guys could clear out a room full of CPA`s. Gravitas was the buzzword of the last Presidential election. Kerry is a veritable cygnus x-1 of gravitas. He completely lacks levitas (I know, please no vocabulary lectures)! The more people see of him, the harder it will be to vote for him. Ditto for the empty suit with the nice hair. I think we will see a slow but steady slide as we near the election.

Posted by: Tim Birdnow at August 3, 2004 04:42 PM

Good breakdown John, but what does it mean? What do Bush or Kerry need to do to grab that center 13% that doesn't know yet. Obviously, Kerry's guys have no idea how to do, I just hope the Bush camp realizes this and has a plan to grab that undecided 13%.

Also if the last election proved anything it was that national polls or popular vote don't mean much. I'm more interested in how the polling in going in Ohio, Missouri, Florida, Iowa, Minnesota, Tennesse, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. Looking at a good electoral map like at http://www.dalythoughts.com/ecb.htm or www.softvote.com is what might really matter in the end.

Posted by: Ryan at August 4, 2004 01:00 AM