November 01, 2004

Crystal Ball

My final predictions for tomorrow's election can be found in today's AmSpec column.

Elsewhere on the site, in Reader Mail, I have an exchange with a Libertarian Party loyalist.

Posted by John Tabin at November 1, 2004 01:59 AM

For one of the few times, I disagree with you. I think your ancillary predictions are correct, but I think Kerry has it. I think the endless media lies and the problems in Iraq have taken their toll. I also expect big city fraud. I certainly hope you are off, but I will also concede that more people I respect are predicting Bush.


Posted by: ltabin at November 1, 2004 08:09 AM

I am very afraid that the vote fraud will push Kerry over the top. John, I think your analysis is right, but I fear the whole thing can be stolen away from us. Lee, I hope you and I are wrong!

Tim Birdnow

Posted by: Tim Birdnow at November 1, 2004 06:44 PM

You're afraid that the election might be *stolen* away from you because of *vote fraud?*

If the hypocracy of that escapes you, as I'm sure it does, I'd like to direct your attention to the multitude of reports coming in from Ohio, Florida, Nevada, New Mexico and elsewhere of blatant, overt voter intimidation and misinformation on the part of local and state Republican offices and ground people. As, usual, you've already concocted your own reality of the situation, but, as always, there is no arguing with facts.

You have plenty reason to be afraid, I'll grant you. Being afraid of "vote fraud" costing Bush the election is profoundly hypocritical, not to mention ludicrous.

Posted by: Anonymous at November 1, 2004 07:55 PM

My 2 cents:

OBL tape helps Bush giving him 306 EV's to Kerry's 232. Bush wins OH, FL, WI, IA and MN.

Bush 50% Kerry 48.5%

Senate is 54-45-1.

If I'm not right I will be significantly intoxicated this time tomorrow.

Posted by: Ryan at November 2, 2004 02:23 AM

Better bust out the Old Milwaukie, Ryan

Posted by: Anonymous at November 2, 2004 01:41 PM

To Anonymous,

The vote fraud committed during the election of 2000 was entirely in Democrat strongholds. Chicago, Detroit, St. Louis, South Florida, etc. I dare you to give me specific examples of Republican vote fraud or dirty tricks. You can`t.

In Lancaster, PA Democrats are calling elderly Republicans and telling them they aren`t registered to vote so should not show up. The Democrat Party has formally authorized a fake telephone endorsement by Norman Schwarzkopf, trying to fool people into believing he opposes Bush. Someone is calling voters claiming to be from the Bush campaign then cursing out the voters. Hey, anonymous, who has been shooting up campaign headquarters? Oh, that`s right, they are REPUBLICAN headquarters being shot at, ransacked, robbed, and looted. Gee, doesn`t that qualify as voter intimidation?

You guys amaze me! The unmitigated gall to accuse Republicans of the dirty, low, underhanded tricks you use to thwart the democratic process! You, my friend, support the truly corrupt party.

Posted by: Tim Birdnow at November 2, 2004 06:41 PM

Aww... did you believe those bogus exit polls, Anonymous? You poor little thing.

Posted by: John Tabin at November 3, 2004 12:48 AM


That was soooo mean! Imagine how badly wounded I am!

Posted by: Tim Birdnow at November 3, 2004 03:00 AM

I concede and admit you were right in your judgment and I was wrong. I admit I was taken in by the incredibly inaccurate exit polls and maybe some by the spin of the media. what really threw me is that fox began the evening gloomy.

I think Bush needs to be much more conservative fiscally, but proceed do win in Iraq and around the world. He needs to explain to the American people what is going on in Iraq and what our goal is there.


Posted by: ltabin at November 3, 2004 04:19 AM