February 23, 2005

Condoleeza Dreamin'

I look at the overwrought Draft Condi buzz in my latest AmSpec column.

Posted by John Tabin at February 23, 2005 02:52 AM

Right on the money, John! I think the ``draft Condi`` business is foolishness; a modern President isn`t going to walk in with no electoral experience and win. Condi has no experience running a political campaign on a major scale! Most Presidents have come from the Governorships (at least for the last 100 years) and there is a reason for that; governors have the experience to manage large beaurocratic machines and are used to fighting the day-to-day political battles. An appointed Secretary has less qualifications than a Senator (at least Senators have to run every six years).

I would also like to point out that a Clinton/Rice battle would jump one of Hillary`s major hurdles by guaranteeing a woman president. I suspect America is still going to be a bit conservative about this, and there are votes Hillary won`t get because the public won`t be ready for a woman commander-in-chief. Running another woman will neutralize any advantage the Republicans would gain from this.

I think it`s generally a bad idea.

Thanks for validating my opinion. I`ve had a number of internet arguments about this, and you`ve given me a lot of ammo!

Posted by: Tim Birdnow at February 23, 2005 08:45 AM

Excellent column. I'm even more cynical than you and can think of a few other reasons why Condi wouldn't make it through the primaries, and wouldn't be that strong in the general. Not to unload them all here, but one thing I haven't heard anyone mention - while people are ready for a female president, I'm not sure they're ready for a never-married female president. The smear campaign writes itself.

You're right about Morris's silly assertions of racial support, too. Rice is far less popular among blacks than she is among whites, and is there any evidence at all that Hispanics care if a candidate is black or white? The last I heard of that theory was in 2002's Texas elections, when Democrats nominated a black candidate for senate and a hispanic for governor, and made reference to the votes that would roll in for this minority "dream team." Silly then, silly now.

BTW, Geraghty links to you in TKS today.

Posted by: Dave Weigel at February 23, 2005 03:19 PM