September 29, 2004
We'll Always Have Paris
I do some pre-debate handicapping in my AmSpec column today. You'll have to read it to understand why I've chosen this blog headline.
September 17, 2004
Worst. Candidate. Ever.
(Incidentally, as much as I enjoy a good Simpsons reference, I'm not sure if I'd go as far as Hugh Hewitt and call Kerry "simply the worst major party candidate of my lifetime, period"-- there's some stiff competition.)
September 16, 2004
September 15, 2004
Three Days of the Condorcet
Dave Weigel quotes me commenting on a Naderite's absurd suggestion that Ralph Nader would have won using the Condorcet method, in which voters rank their preferrences and the winner is the candidate who wins the majority of head-to-head match-ups. I concluded when Dave and I were chatting about this on IM yesterday that the Naderite must think that Bush voters would have preferred Nader to Gore, but upon reflection I realize that the other possibility would be that all Gore voters would pick Nader as a first choice-- -- and it would have to be all, or at least very close to all (unless there were enough Bush>Nader>Gore voters to make up the difference). Of course, the reality is that not only would most of Gore's constituents have chosen him as their first choice, but a large percentage would have picked Bush, not Nader, as their second choice. (I'm ignoring, for this exercise, the other minor-party candidates; including them would probably be even worse for Nader.)
There's no voting system I can think of in which Nader could become head of government, though in a proportional representation system where Nader was the Green Party leader he might get enough votes to land him a seat in parliament; this is how Green parties operate in Europe, as part of coalitions of the left. Of course, Bernie Sanders already does just that within the American system, but the Sanders route requires a modicum of prudence that Nader's megalomania seems to preclude.
September 07, 2004
I look at President Bush's smaller-than-advertised (but still respectable) lead in the polls in my latest AmSpec column.
September 05, 2004
Week in Review
Boy, those plans for bonus material from the convention on the blog really fell through, huh? It turned out that my hotel's website, advertising "Wi-Fi and high-speed internet access in the Business Center," was not exactly accurate: there was no wifi, and the computers were extremely expensive. Thankfully the charges were tax deductible, but I still didn't feel like sticking around to blog. (There was also no wi-fi in the press stand at the convention, only a network that I didn't have the proper equipment for plugging into. Why?)
September 01, 2004
Safety and the City
I fret about Amtrak security and briefly evaluate Night 2 of the GOP convention in my latest AmSpec column.
Just in case you're wondering about my only pseudo-celebrity encounter since I got into the city: CNN's John King walked past me earlier. (I stopped to watch Ron Reagan, Joe Scarborough, Frank Luntz and Pat Buchanan taping a segment at MSNBC's outdoor studio, but I don't think that counts.)