JohnTabin.com

Oscar Forecast

My predictions:

Best Picture - No Country for Old Men

Best Original Screenplay - Diablo Cody, Juno

Best Adapted Screenplay - Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood

Best Foreign Language Film - The Counterfeiters

Best Documentary Feature - No End in Sight

Best Director - Joel and Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men

Best Cinematography - Robert Elswit, There Will Be Blood

Best Actor - Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood

Best Actress - Ellen Page, Juno

Best Supporting Actor - Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men

Best Supporting Actress - Cate Blanchett, I'm Not There

Several of these categories -- Picture, Adapted Screenplay, Director, Cinematography -- are No Country for Old Men vs. There Will Be Blood showdowns. I'm betting they'll split them, though it wouldn't surprise me to see No Country take Cinematography and Adapted Screenplay or even for Blood to take Best Picture. Julian Schabel could also sneak in and snag the Director statue.

While Juno's a lock for Original Screenplay, Ellen Page could lose out to Julie Christie, who played a woman with Alzheimer (the Academy loves stuff like that).

UPDATE: I got seven out of eleven right -- not too bad. Here are the winners.

Oh, By The Way...

Last week I forgot to link to my column on CPAC.

Dean Dials Duncan, Discusses Delegates

Somehow I came back from an RNC reception at CPAC with a story for AmSpec that focuses on the Democrats. How did that happen?

Lapdog

Today I have an AmSpec column examining how Mike Huckabee helped John McCain get the nomination just about sewn up.

Super, Thanks For Asking

I've got a state-by-state guide to Super Tuesday at AmSpec today.